IPCC 主席在2022 年古尔本基安人文奖颁奖典礼上的讲话

2022-10-17 10:13 来源: IPCC

尊敬的女士们、先生们:

作为IPCC主席,让我代表过去、现在和未来的为政府间气候变化专门委员会工作的科学家表示,首先我们对成为2022年古尔本基人类奖的获得者之一感到谦卑和荣幸。

我们特别感谢安吉拉·默克尔博士领导的评审团对全球数千名科学家的工作给予认可,他们自愿提供专业知识和时间来研究IPCC报告。

今天,这些报告是联合国关于气候变化最权威的科学声音,它们为世界决策者提供了关于气候变化和如何应对气候变化的强大科学知识。

非常感谢。

我们还感谢古尔本基安基金会的热情欢迎和慷慨款待。

对气候变化科学的这一重要认识是在关键时刻到来的,通过我们的报告向世界决策者提供的科学是明确的,气候变化是人为的,它广泛而迅速,而且正在加剧。

2007年,IPCC获得诺贝尔和平奖,IPCC的第四次评估报告指出:

“持续的温室气体排放达到或超过当前的速度将导致进一步变暖,并在21世纪引起全球气候系统的许多变化,这些变化很可能比20世纪观察到的变化更大”。

这可能是21世纪最保守的说法之一。15年后,气候变化的影响达到了极点,世界上没有一个地方可以幸免,这与19世纪中叶以来全球变暖1.1摄氏度有关。

除非在最近的将来立即、迅速和大规模减少温室气体排放,否则本世纪全球变暖将超过1.5°C和2°C,温室气体排放会令我们的星球窒息。

我们不应该弄错——气候变化对我们星球的健康、我们的生计、我们的福祉以及与我们共享这个世界的所有其他物种都是迫在眉睫的威胁,它的影响加剧了能源、水、粮食以及人类和生态系统的健康问题

今天,我们没有走上将变暖限制在1.5°C的轨道。

事实上,过去十年的年均温室气体排放量是人类历史上最高的。

气候变化的影响和风险越来越复杂,越来越难以管理,发展中国家尤其脆弱。

气候变化不会发生在其他地方,也不会发生在别人身上。今年夏天,欧洲部分地区创下了有史以来最热的气温,我们已经在美国、法国和澳大利亚看到了野火的严酷画面,巴基斯坦洪水,飓风伊恩对古巴和美国造成的破坏,仅举几个最近充斥我们新闻的极端事件,气候变化使这些事件变得更糟。

毫不犹豫地说,现在是采取气候行动的时候了,再也没有时间采取折衷措施或自满了。

我们不能漠不关心,也不能因挑战的规模而气馁。我们拥有限制全球变暖所需的工具和专业知识,现在是时候更加紧迫地使用它们了。

今天的拖延和无所作为将增加限制全球变暖的不确定性,并导致未来决策者的时间和选择更少,延误将导致更多永久性损害,这将意味着预防和适应气候变化的成本更高,拖延是一种失败的建议。

令人鼓舞的是,越来越多的国家正在采取行动,但世界需要大幅提高对气候变化的反应,机会之窗正在迅速关闭,我们现在未能采取集体行动,只会增加我们未来的挑战。

我们的报告估计,目前的资金流量比2030年将变暖限制在1.5°C或2°C以下所需的水平低三到六倍,发展中国家面临的挑战最大。

有足够的全球资本和流动性来解决这个问题,但金融家需要政府和国际社会发出更明确的信,实现全球低排放和公正过渡有赖于加快国际金融合作。

它还取决于不同利益攸关方之间的合作,以便社会能够接受气候解决方案和实现可持续发展的政策和措施。

女士们先生们,

我们今天面临许多危机。对世界和平与安全的不祥威胁、粮食危机、能源危机、生活成本危机等。

请允许我提出一个挑战性的想法:与我们面临的气候挑战的规模和复杂性相比,这些危机相形见绌。气候变化加剧了能源危机、粮食危机以及对和平与安全的挑战,它将继续破坏能源、食物、水、健康和生物多样性。

但我们可以提升我们的雄心壮志,采取果断的气候行动,造福我们的星球和人类,气候变化需要真正的全球合作和团结。

通过这样做,我们可能会发现自己受到启发,更有能力找到应对其他全球挑战的解决方案。

科学是应对气候变化的重要工具,对于 IPCC 科学家来说,古本金人类奖是一个重要的认可和鼓励。

因此,我很高兴地宣布,该奖项随附的慷慨钱包将进一步增加IPCC奖学金计划的资金,该倡议为来自发展中国家的博士生提供奖学金,支持年轻研究人员的工作,并加强 IPCC 工作的公平性、包容性和多样性。您的慷慨捐助将使年轻科学家能够开展研究,增进他们对气候变化风险和应对策略的理解。

获得该奖项是IPCC科学家、成员国政府和IPCC背后工作人员的集体荣誉和鼓,我们以极大的职业自豪感和谦逊接受它。

毕竟,气候解决方案需要的不仅仅是科学和技术,它呼吁每个人共同努力解决现在影响到世界每个地区的问题,并为了我们的星球和我们的人类同胞加入一个共同的目标,它要求所有人成为我们兄弟姐妹的守护者。

谢谢你们。

Distinguished ladies and gentlemen,

On behalf of scientists — past, present and future — working for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and as the Chair of the IPCC, let me start by saying that we are humbled and honoured to be one of the recipients of the 2022 Gulbenkian Prize for Humanity.

We are particularly grateful to the Jury led by Dr. Angela Merkel for recognising the work of the thousands of scientists worldwide who volunteer their expertise and time to work on IPCC reports.

Today, these reports are the most authoritative scientific voice of the United Nations about climate change. They provide the world´s policymakers with robust scientific knowledge about climate change and how to tackle it.

Thank you.

We also thank the Gulbenkian Foundation for your warm welcome and generous hospitality.

This important recognition of climate change science comes at a critical time. The science delivered to the world´s policymakers through our reports is clear and unequivocal. Climate change is man-made, it is widespread and rapid, and it is intensifying.

In 2007, the year the IPCC received the Nobel Peace Prize, the IPCC’s fourth assessment report noted, and I quote:

“Continued greenhouse gas emissions at or above current rates would cause further warming and induce many changes in the global climate system during the 21st century that would very likely be larger than those observed during the 20th century” end quote.

It may be one of the 21st century’s greatest understatements. Fifteen years later the effects of climate change have arrived with a vengeance and no part of the world is being spared. And that’s with global warming of 1.1 degrees Celsius since the middle of the 19th century.

Global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C will be exceeded during this century unless immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions – which suffocate our planet – occur in the nearest future.

We should make no mistake – climate change is an imminent threat to the health of our planet, our livelihoods, our well-being, and all other species sharing this world with us. Its impacts exacerbate the problems in energy, water, food, and health of humans and ecosystems.

Today, we are not on track to limit warming to 1.5°C.

In fact, average annual greenhouse gas emissions in the last decade were the highest in human history.

The impacts and risks of climate change are becoming increasingly complex and more difficult to manage. Developing nations are particularly vulnerable.

Climate change is not happening somewhere else, to someone else. Parts of Europe recorded the hottest temperatures ever this summer. We´ve seen the stark images of wildfires in the US, France and Australia. Floods in Pakistan. The devastation Hurricane Ian inflicted on Cuba and the US, just to name a few recent extreme events filling our news feeds. Climate change made these events worse.

To put it in no uncertain terms – NOW is the time for climate action. There is no more time for half-measures or complacency.

We cannot embrace indifference or be discouraged by the scale of the challenge. We have the tools and know-how required to limit global warming. It is time to put them to use with far greater urgency.

Delays and inaction today will increase the uncertainty of limiting global warming and result in less time and fewer options for future decision-makers. Delay will lead to more permanent damage. It will mean higher costs to prevent and adapt to climate change. Delay is a losing proposition.

It is encouraging that more and more countries are taking action. But the world needs to dramatically ramp up its response to climate change. The window of opportunity is closing rapidly. Our failure to act collectively now will only multiply and increase our challenges in the future.

Our reports assess that current financial flows are three to six times below the levels needed by 2030 to limit warming to below 1.5°C or 2°C. The challenge is greatest for developing countries.

There is enough global capital and liquidity to tackle the problem. But financiers need more explicit signalling from governments and the international community. Achieving global low emissions and just transitions depend upon accelerated international financial cooperation.

It also depends upon collaboration across different stakeholders so that society can embrace policies and measures for climate solutions and for achieving sustainable development.

Ladies and gentlemen,

We face many crises today. Ominous threats to the world´s peace and security. Food crises. Energy crises. Cost of living crises.

Allow me a provocative thought: These crises pale next to the sheer magnitude and complexity of the climate challenge we face. Climate change worsens energy crises, food crises, and challenges to peace and security. It will continue damaging energy, food, water, health and biodiversity.

But we can elevate our ambitions and take decisive climate action for the benefit of our planet and humanity. Climate change warrants genuine planetary cooperation and solidarity.

By doing so, we may find ourselves inspired and better equipped to find solutions to other global challenges.

Science is an essential instrument with which to tackle climate change. For IPCC scientists, the Gulbenkian Prize for Humanity is an important recognition and encouragement.

Therefore, I´m delighted to announce that the generous purse that comes with the Prize will further boost the funding of the IPCC´s Scholarship Programme. This initiative provides scholarships for doctoral students from developing nations, supporting the work of young researchers and strengthening equity, inclusion and diversity in the IPCC’s work. Your generous contribution will allow young scientists to conduct research that advances their understanding of climate change risks and response strategies.

Receiving this prize is a collective distinction and inspiration for IPCC scientists, member governments and staff behind the IPCC. We accept it with great professional pride and humility.

After all, climate solution requires more than science and technology. It calls on everyone to work together to solve a problem that now affects every region of the world and to join in a common purpose for the sake of our planet and our fellow human beings. It asks all of us to be our brother’s and sister’s keepers.

Thank you.
– ENDS –

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